Prediction of Local level election 2074

As the first level of local elections is done, people are now curious about the result. My late post on whom to elect in this local election has reached out to 400 people who had read it but don't know if they had actually followed it.
The vote count has started from late night in some areas and from early morning today. Television channels, online news portal, FMs have started providing the first vote count updates from different parts where the count has begun from late night. Well, I am more concerned with the result in the major metro cities of Nepal. There are 4 metro cities, all of which conducts the local election on Baishak 31 (Yesterday).

Exit polls also have given out some prediction result. Due to the collaboration between some ruling parties vs opposition parties, the election result can be told to be obvious. But it can not be assured that the collaboration will yield exactly the same result.

The exit polls have already showed that the same big parties will have major seats around the 3 states, namely 3,4,6. So, its gonna be Nepali Congress (NC), Yemale (UML) and Maoists who will rule the result. For the highest no of seats, NC and UML will definitely be head to head. As per the Exit polls and the trend for the people preference for opposition due to their ultra vocal agendas, UML is known to lead in the no of seats. There could be only few no of seats difference between UML and NC.

After NC and UML, there will be huge gap for the no of seats win by Maoists. The newly united Ra.Pra.Pa may assume the fourth position after the Maoist Party but the no of seats for both the parties is known to be very low.

Lets put my prediction for the Mayor of major 4 Metro cities of Nepal.

Last Constituent election, I have done the same for the prediction of  all 10 areas of Kathmandu where nine of them came true. Find out here.

Pokhara is now the biggest metro city of Nepal. Here, there is collaboration between NC, Maoists for NC Mayor. So the heavy weight of NC candidate is likely to win the Mayoral position. But the competition is known to be tough between NC and UML candidates here.

Kathmandu is the home to the highest number of educated voters in Nepal. But are they going to make some changes in the election result here?? Well that is quite doubtful!!! Independent candidates from Bibeksheel: Ranju Darshana and Sajha Party's Kishore Thapa are in the limelight here, apart from major parties candidate. Mayor candidate from UML is supported by Ra. Pra. Pa. So it seems UML Bidhya Sundar Shakya may win but it is also equal likely for NC Raju Raj Joshi to lead KTM mayor. It is because in the last Constituent assembly election, NC had a good position here. As it is told that both the independent candidates Ranjana and Kishore will swing votes from NC supporters, UML's candidate is in upper hand. Now, it all depends on how much votes Ranjana and Kishore Thapa have stolen from NC. 

Lalitpur is another major metro city of Nepal. In the last Constituent assembly election, Congress had a landslide victory in all of the areas there. So, despite the alliance between UML, Ra.Pra.Pa, NC is most likely to win here.

Bharatpur: As NC has decided formally to support Maoists candidate Renu Dahal, she may win the mayoral position if NC supporters follow it accordingly. As we have heard some dissatisfaction for this collaboration, it is equally likely for the UML candidate to come as winner. Even if fifty percent of NC supporters follow their central whim, Renu Dahal (the daughter of current PM Pushpa Kamal Dahal a.k.a Prachanda) will win.

No matter who wins, I expect major changes to make our lives better here in the metro cities and other areas. When the vote count results are coming, I have found this (below) in the morning. Hope this sort of issues will be solved from the newly elected people's representative.

Disclaimer: The predictions are solely based on my intuition and what I have found, following news reports and discussing with the people from different places. 

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Whom to vote in Local Election 2074?

Three levels of elections are going to happen in Nepal as per the implementation of New Constitution of Nepal 2073. The first phase of Local Election is happening tomorrow from 7 am to 5 pm in 3 states of Nepal. Ballot for this local level election is also on paper, where we should put the swastika stamp on. I wonder when will Nepal adopt electronic voting on large scale for National elections.Talking about this Local election happening after 2 decades, people are so excited that the election turnout is known to be very high.

There are seven position to vote for this local election, either in Village bodies or Municipalities.They are: Mayor or Village Chairman, Deputy Mayor or Deputy Chairman of Village, Ward Chairman, Women Ward member, Dalit Women Ward member and two open Ward members. 

This election is about electing people either from political parties or independent for a local government. Which is directly related to the local level works inside the Village, Municipality and Ward. So, people should be more focused on the candidate for that position. Do not hesitate to ponder on the person's capability to lead the local level issues including development. But he/ she need not be tested with previous experience in any bigger position. His character and social friendliness behavior is also equally important.

Try to mix up for the people in different parties for different position with that capability. Do not follow blindly for any other thoughts and belief. Look for the education qualification in the person, prefer ones with higher than bachelor studies.

I do not mean, not to evaluate the candidates political agenda as it is also relevant. You do not want to stamp the position from a party whose ideology is completely different from you. They will certainly use that vote counts to show their popularity, which you will regret later.

Rule of law, democracy, development issue, transparency are mostly present in the party's manifesto but are they following what they preach?. That is another issue to look for while voting for the position blindly, sans the candidate.

During the election, you must be aware of all the propaganda's that some cheap cadres or leaders will be spreading for their benefits. Do not follow them and the rumors. Do vote with your inner belief for the person / parties, freely without any bias. As a matter of fact, you should reject the propagandists.

I am sure you might be having your family member, relative, neighbors as a candidate for this local level election of same or different ideology. But you have to do some judgement in another way here. If you feel he/ she won't do anything bad in comparison to other candidates, then you are going the right direction. Sometimes negative judgement also puts you in safe position.

There are people apathy to all these election developments and say there is no point in voting, citing the incompetent leaders in the power for long duration. I say it is the right time to show your anger, frustration in all these years by voting. Remember all the mishaps that might have hit you in all those years. Change does not mean selecting blindly. Select the right one, vote wisely. Don't be indifferent to all the election development. Participate actively. So that you won't regret later.

Even if its too late to reach out to many, I wrote this in a rush. Do not forget to share for spreading the right. Thank you.

Here is an official video from Election commission regarding the right method of Ballot paper.

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Hari Bahadur, a new fictional book by Hari Bansha Acharya

HariBahadur, a new book by popular actor Hari Bansha Acharya is released today in the capital. In a program at Pragya Bhawan Kamaladi, the book was made public on Baishak 23. Hari Bahadur is one of the popular character from the TV series "Madan Bahadur Hari Bahadur". The character is a symbol of the cunning, clever, thug people in our society. As the character is already in the heart of millions of Nepali people, this book is learned to take Nepal by storm. 

Ma of Ma-ha (the duo), Mr. Madan Krishna Shrestha launched the book in front of hundreds of people. In the program, Madan Sir mentioned of the character's presence all around us. He even cited the reason for the current political situation due to the presence of such Hari Bahadur character in Nepali politics. 

He congratulated his friend, his career partner for the second book. The first book was his autobiography named "China Harayeko Manche". 

Madan Krishna Shrestha even revealed his book to come soon in the market, may be this Dashain of the year 2074.

The actor even staged a program for the character interview to the faked journalist character of Mr. Rishi Dhamala. Though you have trouble dealing them everyday in real life, it is always fun to view the character as put by the actor Hari Bansha Acharya. Similarly, the book will be worth the read.

Having said and known all, I cannot wait to get it and read it at one sitting. As told by the host Rabi Lamichane, the book is so interesting that you will complete reading in one shot.
The price of the book is Rs 398. I am sure the book is available in all major stored of the country.

The host mentioned of the tour of the Har Bahadur to 11 places of the country. Where people can actually meet the character, interact and get a signed copy of the book.

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